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中财-蒂爾堡項目博士生論壇第33期

[發布日期]:2024-11-22  [浏覽次數]:

一、主講學生與論文題目:

曲朗甯2017級博士生)

Paper1She goes all out: Female analysts’ corporate site-visiting

Paper2: Clients Motivated Analysts? Evidence from Timeliness of Affiliated Analysts Forecasts in China

Paper3:Cater to the clients with better accuracy? Evidence from Affiliated Analysts Forecasts in China

二、時間:20241125日(周一)晚上19:00-21:00

三、地點:騰訊會議

四、點評與讨論教師:

bevictor伟德官网 副院長、教授

吳偎立 bevictor伟德官网 副教授

朱菲菲 bevictor伟德官网 副教授

五、主持人:魏旭 bevictor伟德官网 副院長、教授

六、論文摘要

Paper1: She goes all out: Female analysts’ corporate site-visiting

Based on a unique Chinese database of 12,004 analyst site visits from 2012 to 2020, this study unveils gender differences in the sell-side analysts’ information acquisition process. Female analysts conduct nearly three times as many site visits as male analysts, leading to significantly higher earnings forecast accuracy. The effect is more pronounced for companies with greater information asymmetry and managerial overconfidence. Apart from the improved forecast earnings accuracy, female analysts tend to predict more cautiously after site visits. Additionally, female analysts also seem more likely to become star analyst after frequent site visits.

Paper2: Clients Motivated Analysts? Evidence from Timeliness of Affiliated Analysts Forecasts in China

We study the driving force behind the timeliness of earnings per share (EPS) forecasts made by the fund-affiliated sell-side analysts. Using a unique Chinese dataset, our findings suggest that fund-affiliated analysts issue forecasts approximately one day earlier than non-affiliated peers. When confronted with key clients, affiliated analysts tend to be more timely, indicating the influence of fee pressure on the timeliness of forecasts among affiliated analysts. This timely preference is particularly significant when the clients’ holdings involve opaque information or release positive news during financial reporting periods. Besides, these timely forecasts exhibit relative accuracy, and the affiliated analysts and their brokerages will also benefit.

Paper3: Cater to the clients with better accuracy? Evidence from Affiliated Analysts Forecasts in China

This study examines the impact of fund-affiliated relationships on the accuracy of earnings per share (EPS) forecasts made by sell-side analysts using a unique Chinese dataset. We find that the affiliated analysts are 3.16% more accurate in absolute terms and 5.14% more accurate in relative terms than their non-affiliated counterparts at the average level. As fund-affiliation strengthen, the motivation for accuracy increases. The gap in forecast accuracy between affiliated and non-affiliated analysts widens when forecasting the earnings of more challenging target companies. These findings suggest that affiliated analysts are driven to enhance their forecasting abilities, resulting in long-term benefits for both the analysts and their brokerages.

備注:中财-蒂爾堡項目閉門論壇,僅限項目師生參加

撰稿:張瑩

審核:魏旭



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