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第二屆亞太經濟與金融論壇 改革開放 30 年後的中國金融發展:機遇與挑戰

[發布日期]:2008-11-09  [浏覽次數]:

主辦: bevictor伟德官网

清華-布魯金斯公共政策研究中心

澳大利亞蒙納士大學商學院

協辦: bevictor伟德官网國際金融研究中心

bevictor伟德官网證券期貨研究所

bevictor伟德官网中國銀行業研究中心

合作媒體:  

網絡視頻: 中國學術會議在線

時間: 2008 年 11 月 9-10 日

地點: 北京市海澱區學院南路 39 号 bevictor伟德官网中财大廈 2 層

1天(119日,星期日,全天)

9:00 – 9:15

開幕與歡迎緻詞

bevictor伟德官网院長 張禮卿教授

蒙納士大學商學院副院長 譚安傑( On Kit Tam )教授

清華-布魯金斯公共政策研究中心主任 肖 耿 教授

9:15 – 12:30

專題讨論之一金融改革與開放 30年:曆史回顧和經驗啟示

主持:

  • bevictor伟德官网院長 張禮卿 教授

主題演講:

  • 中國國家統計局局長 馬建堂 博士

  • bevictor伟德官网校長 王廣謙 教授

嘉賓讨論:

  • 中國社會科學院金融研究所副所長 王松奇 教授

  • 澳大利亞蒙納士大學商學院副院長 譚安傑( On Kit Tam )教授

  • 西南财經大學中國金融研究中心主任 劉錫良 教授

  • 中國人民大學中國财政金融政策研究中心主任 張傑 教授

  • bevictor伟德官网校長助理 史建平 教授

  • bevictor伟德官网 郭田勇 教授

問答

12 : 30 - 13:30

自助午餐

13:30 - 15:45

專題讨論之二當前的宏觀經濟金融形勢與政策選擇

主持:

  • 蒙納士大學商學院副院長 譚安傑( On Kit Tam )教授

主題演講:

  • 美國斯坦福大學經濟系 Ronald I. McKinnon 教授

嘉賓讨論:

  • 中國人民大學校長助理 吳曉求 教授

  • 中國證監會研究中心主任 祁斌 博士

  • 中信證券董事長 王東明 先生

  • 北京師範大學金融研究中心主任 鐘偉 教授

  • 巴黎百富勤投資公司亞太區首席經濟學家 陳興動 博士

  • 清華-布魯金斯公共政策研究中心主任 肖耿教授

問答

15:45-16:00

茶歇

16:00 - 18:15

專題讨論之三全球金融危機及其對中國的影響

主持:

  • 清華-布魯金斯公共政策研究中心主任 肖 耿 教授

主題演講:

  • 教育部經濟學教學指導委員會主任、南開大學原副校長 逄錦聚 教授

  • bevictor伟德官网講座教授、美國布魯金斯學會高級研究員胡永泰( Wing T. Woo )教授

嘉賓讨論:

  • 中國銀行業協會常務副會長 楊再平 博士

  • 北京銀行董事長 閻冰竹 先生

  • 中國國際金融公司首席戰略分析師 黃海洲 博士

  • 花旗集團亞太區首席經濟學家 黃益平 博士

  • 德國發展研究院高級研究員 Ulrich Volz 博士

  • bevictor伟德官网院長 張禮卿教授

問答

2天(1110日,星期一上午,820-1200

平行會場一 銀行、資本市場改革與金融發展

地點:bevictor伟德官网中财大廈2層學術報告廳

專題1銀行改革與金融發展(每位作者發言10分鐘,讨論10分鐘)

時間:820—1000

主持人:李建軍教授,bevictor伟德官网院長助理

發言人:

  • 二重結構與中國金融制度變遷的路徑選擇:一個新制度經濟學的視角

郭梅亮 、 徐璋勇,西北大學中國西部經濟發展研究中心

  • 二元金融結構發展演變與支農績效

陳時興,浙江省委黨校經濟學部

  • 境外戰略投資者對我國上市銀行公司治理和績效影響的實證研究

劉轶、許勇,湖南大學bevictor伟德官网

• 中國商業銀行信貸投資傳導機制的統計分析

鄧淇中,湖南科技大學管理學院;鄒新月,武漢大學經濟管理學院

  • Some Figures of Ukrainian Banking System Development , Andrii Nikitin , docent , Banking management department , KNEU ,烏克蘭基輔國民經濟大學銀行金融系

  • 改革開放三十年:城商行發展總結、挑戰及未來方向

張吉光,上海銀行戰略管理部

  • 中國國有商業銀行改革績效的實證檢驗

李希義,中國科學技術發展戰略研究院

  • 我國銀行不良資産證券化市場環境培育的若幹問題

馬麗娟,bevictor伟德官网

  • 國際資本流動對中國宏觀經濟穩定影響的實證分析

張碧瓊,bevictor伟德官网

  • 國際金融格局變動與中國的對策分析

修晶,中國青年政治學院

專題2資本市場改革與發展(每位作者發言10分鐘,讨論10分鐘)

時間:1010—1200

主持人:應展宇副教授,bevictor伟德官网院長助理

發言人:

  • 上市公司盈利能力綜合評價及其影響因素研究

薛德餘、高雷,南京信息工程大學國際金融研究院

  • 控股股東、非公允關聯交易與利益輸送

李廣子、劉力,北京大學光華管理學院

  • 印花稅稅率調整、股市波動性風險與行業差異

王曉玲,上海立信會計學院

  • 我國債券市場收益率宏觀經濟影響因素的實證分析

李磊甯,bevictor伟德官网

  • 對韓國債權型基金績效持續性研究

金弘培、崔鵑,韓國釜山東西大學國際經營大學院

  • Research on Market Competition and Dynamic Adjustment of Capital Structure — Based on Nonstationary Panel Data Analysis in the bank industry

黃世平、肖洪鈞,大連理工大學管理學院;黃旭平,廣東外語外貿大學國際商務英語學院

  • Time interval and optimal asset allocations: The case of Hong Kong

CHEN Rui , LIU Si , Hong Kong University , 香港大學房地産與建築系

  • Estimations for risk premium by APT model

史秀紅,bevictor伟德官网

  • Corporative Models of Income Taxation

Sverdan М. ,烏克蘭基輔國民經濟大學财政系

平行會場二 經濟形勢與政策、 金融危機

地點:bevictor伟德官网中财大廈3層學術報告廳

專題1經濟形勢與政策(每位作者發言10分鐘,讨論10分鐘)

時間:820—1000

主持人:金哲松教授,bevictor伟德官网國際經濟與貿 易系 博士生導師

發言人:

• The Stakes of China in the Global Economic Debacle : Less to Lose, More to Gain

Kwangbong Lee, 鄒質霞 , 韓國仁濟大學 (Inje University)

• 轉型期開放經濟下的中國貨币政策操作規範研究

卞志村、李華威, 南京大學商學院

• Total Factor Productivity and Economic Growth in Macao

卓帥和、朱東東,澳門大學

• 黃金價格與經濟活動——中國黃金市場分析及其貨币政策涵義

劉明,陝西師範大學農村發展研究中心,陝西師範大學中國西部金融研究中心;李娜,陝西師範大學中國西部金融研究中心

• 人民币彙率變動的貿易收支效應實證

張正榮,浙江理工大學經管學院

• 彙率變動與出口價格傳遞:一個擴展的古諾模型

吳東立,曲昭光,沈陽農業大學金融系;張禮卿,bevictor伟德官网

• 彙率波動對我國對美出口貿易影響的實證研究

盛朝迅,中國人民大學商學院

• 新時期中國國防科技工業轉型升級研究

範肇臻,bevictor伟德官网國防經濟與管理研究院

• 人民币實際有效彙率的長期決定因素研究: 1994-2008

黃昌利,bevictor伟德官网

• Fiscal Administration of Personal Revenues, In the Post-Soviet Market Transition Economic: Experience of Ukraine

Slavkova A ,烏克蘭基輔國民經濟大學财政系

專題2全球金融危機(每位作者發言10分鐘,讨論10分鐘)

時間:1010—1200

主持人:韓複齡教授,bevictor伟德官网應用金融系主任

發言人:

• 美國次級貸款危機:背景、原因與啟示

劉興華,江西财經大學bevictor伟德官网

• 金融危機的演化階段及其美國檢視

姚金海 , 武漢大學社會保障研究中心

• 對美國挽救金融危機政策措施的反思

李瑞琴,bevictor伟德官网

• 美國次級債危機的解析與啟示

趙邯鄲,西南财經大學國際商學院

• 美國次債危機對中國經濟與金融穩定的影響和對策研究

龔建輝, 中國企業國際發展協會

• 21 世紀美國金融大地震引發的中國式思考

郭建偉, 江南大學金融系;彭志清、趙慶華,華中科技大學

• 次貸危機警示國内銀行加強全面風險管理

董入芳、吳亞軍、王志宏,遼甯工程技術大學工商管理學院

• 關于我國金融安全預警體系的思考

張長全,安徽财經大學;梁繼周,中國農業銀行總行

嘉 賓 簡 介

(按姓氏拼音排序)

陳興動

法國巴黎百富勤有限公司北京代表處首席代表,兼法國巴黎證券(亞洲)有限公司董事總經理及中國首席經濟師。主要研究領域為中國宏觀經濟和政策。

郭田勇

bevictor伟德官网教授,民建北京市經濟委員會委員。主要研究領域為銀行業管理和改革。

黃海洲

中國國際金融有限公司研究部董事總經理及策略組負責人,原 國際貨币基金組織高級經濟學家,清華大學經濟管理學院特聘教授。主要研究領域包括公司财務、金融監管、國際金融、貨币經濟學和貨币政策等。

黃益平

花旗集團董事總經理、亞太區首席經濟學家,主要研究領域包括宏觀政策、金融改革與農業發展等。

劉錫良

西南财經大學校長助理,中國金融研究中心主任,教授,博士生導師,兼任國務院學位委員會學科組成員、教育部經濟學教學指導委員會委員,中國金融學會常務理事。主要研究領域為貨币銀行理論與政策、金融監管等。

馬建堂

國家統計局黨組書記、局長,國家有突出貢獻專家,研究員,中國經濟學 50 人論壇學者。主要研究領域為企業行為、産業結構、産業組織和宏觀經濟。

Mckinnon, I. Ronald(羅納德?麥金農)

當代金融發展理論奠基人、美國斯坦福大學經濟學系 William D. Eberle 講座 教授、bevictor伟德官网榮譽教授。主要研究興趣是國際經濟學和經濟發展問題,同時還涉及轉型經濟、财政聯邦制、銀行和金融市場監管,以及全球和地區貨币體系的演變等問題。

逄錦聚

教育部高等學校經濟學科教學指導委員會主任委員,南開大學經濟學教授,博士生導師,原副校長,政治經濟學研究中心主任。主要從事政治經濟學基本理論、市場經濟理論與中國經濟體制改革、宏觀經濟運行與調控等方面的研究。

祁斌

中國證監會研究中心主任,中共中央黨校客座教授,曾供職于高盛集團資産管理部。主要研究領域為證券市場。

史建平

bevictor伟德官网校長助理,教授,博士生導師,中國金融學會常務理事、中國農村金融學會常務理事、中國國際金融學會理事。主要研究領域為銀行管理、金融風險管理、宏觀金融政策及資本市場運行機制。

Tam, K. On( 譚安傑)

澳大利亞蒙納士大學商學院副院長,教授。 主要研究領域是亞太地區(特别是中國)貨币政策管理、金融發展及公司管理。

Volz, Ulrich

德國發展研究院、漢堡國際經濟研究所和柏林自由大學高級研究員,兼任德意志聯邦銀行(柏林)國際貨币政策研究所研究助理。主要研究領域包括國際金融市場、貨币金融合作與一體化、發展與轉型經濟學。

王東明

中信證券股份有限公司董事長。曾任國家旅遊局歐洲二處翻譯,北京華遠經濟建設公司副總經理,加拿大楓葉銀行證券公司副總裁,華夏證券公司國際業務部總經理,南方證券公司副總裁。

王廣謙

bevictor伟德官网校長,教授,博士生導師,中國金融學會副會長,教育部社會科學委員會成員,國務院政府特殊津貼專家,教育部“跨世紀優秀人才計劃”人選,國家“百千萬人才工程”人選。主要研究領域為貨币金融理論與政策、金融與經濟發展。

王松奇

中國社會科學院金融研究所副所長,研究員,博士生導師,兼任北京市創業投資協會理事長,中國金融學會常務理事,全國中青年金融研究會會長。主要研究領域為金融學。

Woo, T. Wing( 胡永泰)

美國加州大學戴維斯分校經濟系教授,bevictor伟德官网講座教授,布魯金斯學會高級研究員。主要研究領域包括東亞(特别是中國和印度尼西亞)經濟問題、國際金融構建、經濟增長和彙率問題。

吳曉求

中國人民大學教授、博士生導師,校長助理,研究生院常務副院長,中國人民大學金融與證券研究所所長, 教育部“新世紀優秀人才計劃”人選。 主要研究領域為資本市場。

肖耿

清華—布魯金斯公共政策研究中心主任,美國布魯金斯學會資深研究員,兼任諾貝爾經濟學獎提名小組成員,中國經濟學獎專家委員會委員。主要研究領域為中國企業、金融、及制度改革與發展。

閻冰竹

北京銀行董事長,中國青年企業家協會副會長,中國金融學會常務理事,北京市金融學會副會長。主要研究領域為商業銀行的可持續發展以及商業銀行的風險管理。

楊再平

中國銀行業協會常務副會長,曾擔任武漢大學、中國人民大學副教授,先後在中國人民銀行、中央辦公廳、全國政協辦公廳任副處長、處長、副局長。

張傑

中國人民大學财政bevictor伟德官网副院長,教授,中國财政金融政策研究中心主任,中國金融學會常務理事,國務院政府特殊津貼專家。主要研究方向為現代貨币金融理論與政策、金融制度與金融發展。

張禮卿

bevictor伟德官网教授,博士生導師,院長,國際金融研究中心主任,中國世界經濟學會常務理事兼副秘書長、中國國際金融學會常務理事兼副秘書長,國務院政府特殊津貼專家、教育部“新世紀優秀人才計劃”人選,國家“百千萬人才工程”人選。主要研究領域為國際金融與宏觀經濟。

鐘偉

北京師範大學金融研究中心主任,教授,博士生導師,兼國家外彙管理局《中國外彙》副主編,主要從事銀行風險管理、外彙管理體制、宏觀經濟等領域的研究。

bevictor伟德官网

bevictor伟德官网(前身為該校金融系,始建于 1949 年; 2003 年起使用現名),是新中國最早建立的金融人才培養基地之一。早在 1953 年和 1956 年,金融系就相繼開辦了全國第一個金融學專業研究生班和外國留學生班, 1960 年率先開辦了全國第一個金融學本科專業。經過近 60 年的發展,學院不僅具備了多層次、高質量的人才培養體系,而且在科學研究、服務社會等方面取得了突出的成就。

目前,學院所屬的金融學和國際貿易學科均為國家重點學科。學院設有金融學系、應用金融系、金融工程系、國際金融系、國際經濟與貿易系 5 個教學單位,以及國際金融研究中心、證券期貨研究所、中國銀行業研究中心 3 個研究機構。在教育項目方面,設有金融學、國際經濟與貿易(含中澳合作“國際貿易 / 金融風險管理方向”)和金融工程 3 個本科專業;金融學、國際貿易學、國際金融學和證券投資學 4 個碩士研究生專業;金融學和國際貿易學 2 個博士研究生專業。學院還擁有應用經濟學一級學科下金融學專業博士後流動站。目前,學院擁有全日制在校學生 1500 餘人,其中,本科生 1100 餘人,碩士 和 博士研究生 400 餘人,在職研究生 200 餘人。

學院現有專任教師 51 人,其中,教授 16 人、副教授 18 人,講師 17 人。長期以來,學院一直以擁有高水平的師資團隊而驕傲。近年來,學院已形成一支以 王廣謙 教授為核心的優秀師資隊伍,其中包括 2 名國家級百千萬人才工程入選者、 1 名國家教學名師獎獲得者、 1 名全國優秀教師, 6 名享受政府特殊津貼專家, 4 名教育部新世紀優秀人才入選者、 3 名财政部跨世紀學科帶頭人,以及一支以金融學系為主體的國家級優秀教學團隊。此外,學院還聘請了約瑟夫 ? 斯蒂格利茨、羅納德 ? 麥金農、約翰 ? 威廉姆森和胡永泰等國際著名經濟學家,以及戴相龍、吳曉靈、吳念魯和李揚等國内知名專家學者擔 任名譽 教授、講座教授 和兼職 教授。

自 2000 年以來學院教師主持完成了國家級、省部級及橫向委托等科研項目 40 餘項,獲得省部級以上獎勵 20 餘項,發表論文千餘篇,出版各種專著、譯著、教材及參考工具書等 120 餘部。在社會服務方面,學院教師利用自己的專業優勢,積極參與政府決策咨詢、企業經營咨詢和人員培訓等活動,得到了廣泛的社會認可。學院還同許多國内外著名的高等院校、研究機構、學術團體和政府部門建立了廣泛而密切的學術交流和教育合作關系,國際化程度正在不斷提高。

清華—布魯金斯研究中心

2006 年 10 月 24 日 ,美國布魯金斯學會與清華大學簽署合作備忘錄,在北京成立了一個公共政策聯合研究中心,“清華—布魯金斯研究中心”。該中心設在清華大學公共管理學院,并成為布魯金斯學會設在華盛頓的約翰 ? 桑頓中國研究中心的一個海外研究基地。

由肖耿博士領導的清華 - 布魯金斯研究中心,通過建立一個長期的海外研究平台來支持布魯金斯學者在中國的調研,将對布魯金斯學會發展成為一個全球性智囊機構起到重要的作用。

清華—布魯金斯研究中心的研究議程目前主要集中在中國宏觀經濟政策、彙率管理、以及中國與全球的貿易平衡;中國企業與金融服務業的改革和現代化;中國的能源及環保政策;中國的城市化與新農村發展政策;中國醫療衛生、退休及社會保障體系的改革與現代化。

清華—布魯金斯研究中心的活動主要包括舉辦講座、圓桌論壇及其他會議,為專家和學者探讨中國當前的發展及政策。

清華 - 布魯金斯研究中心将組織出版刊物及論文系列。《政策研究簡報系列》将發表中心舉辦的講座、小型會議、圓桌研讨會議的概要。清華 - 布魯金斯研究中心還将設立訪問學者項目,方便國際學者對中國的發展政策、中美關系、及中國不斷增強的對全球的影響進行研究。

澳大利亞蒙納士大學商學院

蒙納士大學是澳大利亞國立綜合研究性大學。自 1960 年代起,蒙納士作為英聯邦“哥倫坡” (Colombo) 獎學金計劃”的主要執行大學向亞洲、非洲和太平洋區域英聯邦發展中國家與地區的優秀青年提供一系列本科、碩士 和 博士等學位的教育,培養了為數衆多的優秀人才。他們目前在衆多的國家政界、學術界和商界成長為影響曆史進程的決策人物。這些優秀的畢業生使蒙納士大學蜚聲海外,半個世紀來一直是海外學生趨之若鹜的澳洲著名學府之一。

蒙納士大學下設 10 個學院,并建有數十個具備世界水準的專業研究所及與政府和各國大型企業合作創建的研究中心。蒙納士大學向本國和海外提供 978 種學位教育,包括本科和雙本科學位;研究生證書;課程碩士學位和雙碩士學位;研究性碩士學位;博士學位

近年來英國泰晤士報高等教育專刊“世界最優秀 200 家大學”排行榜将蒙納士大學排位于全球第 33 位。 2006 年,世界級權威雜志“經濟學家”将蒙納士大學商學院的 MBA 課程排位世界第 49 位,澳大利亞第一位。作為澳大利亞八大頂級名校之一,蒙納士大學以其一流的教學質量及世界領先的科研成果聞名于全世界。

蒙納士大學在大洋洲、亞洲、非洲和歐洲的四大洲,共設有八個校區和兩個教育科研中心,為蒙納士大學實現教育與科研的國際化提供了跨越國界的運作平台。大學現有 5100 多員工,其中教師 2400 多人。目前在校生總數超過五萬,分别來自 100 多個國家。目前大學約有 13,000 名研究生修讀課程碩士,研究碩士 和 博士學位。

蒙納士大學商學院 是澳大利亞及世界規模最大和學科設置臻于完善的商學院之一。學院提供 56 類本科和雙本科學位, 73 類研究生證書學位, 56 類碩士和雙碩士學位,以及博士學位和工商 管理 博士學位。目前共有 15,000 名以上的本科生和研究生在讀。

商學院的經濟學家和專家們在福利經濟學,宏觀經濟學和新古典經濟學理論方向,微觀經濟學模型,公司治理機制,可計算一般均衡模型,跨國公司和對外直接投資,資産定價與市場效率和公共衛生經濟學等學科的研究成果處于國際前沿。

商學院已通過歐洲商學院質量認證體系( EQUIS )的審評并獲得認證。 EQUIS 是由歐洲管理發展基金會針對工商學院的國際性質量認證體系,以國際性管理教育的卓有成效為認證标準,是歐洲最嚴格的質量認證體系。 EQUIS 的認證進一步奠定了蒙納士大學作為國際一流學府,在商學與管理學術領域的世界領先地位。

bevictor伟德官网國際金融研究中心

bevictor伟德官网國際金融研究中心成立于 2003 年 9 月。本中心依托國家重點學科—bevictor伟德官网的學科優勢和研究隊伍,廣泛聯系國内外相關學術機構,緻力于對國際金融等領域的最新理論發展和政策實踐進行研究。其宗旨是在積極推動基礎性理論研究的同時,面向社會,為政府部門、金融機構和企業組織等提供信息咨詢和決策參考服務。本中心的研究方向主要包括國際金融、國際投資、國際金融市場、宏觀經濟和公司融資等。

中心擁有一支高素質的研究隊伍,其中絕大多數具有經濟學博士學位,受過良好的經濟學教育,掌握先進的數理和計量分析方法,并對中國經濟與金融的運行有比較深入的了解。

中心成立以來,張禮卿教授帶領中心人員對人民币彙率問題、全球經濟失衡、資本流動和資本賬戶以及開放條件下的宏觀經濟政策等若幹重大問題開展了研究,多次組織學術報告會和研讨會。其中, 2003 年 10 月 30 日 召開“人民币彙率國際學術研讨會”、 2006 年 10 月 26-27 日召開“全球經濟失衡及其調整:宏觀經濟政策與制度改革”國際學術研讨會,均産生了較大的社會影響。此外,中心還承擔了國家社會科學基金項目、國家自然科學基金項目、教育部人文社科規劃項目等多項課題的研究,并出版了多期工作論文。

bevictor伟德官网證券期貨研究所

bevictor伟德官网證券期貨研究所創立于 1994 年 4 月,是國内第一家專門從事證券期貨研究的高級研究機構。研究所是在全國著名金融學家 劉光第 教授倡導下經bevictor伟德官网正式批準建立的,現任所長為bevictor伟德官网 賀強 教授,共有成員 22 人,并由吳敬琏、肖灼基等國内著名經濟學家擔任高級顧問。

研究所成立以來,積極探索我國資本市場及經濟發展中的問題,對證券市場進行了系統地跟蹤,并且對企業資産重組、國有企業股份制改造以及宏觀經濟預測等方面也有深入的研究,取得了豐碩的研究成果。公開出版著作 20 部,其中主編 10 部、合作編寫 12 部;公開發表有關金融及證券市場的論文 300 多篇;主持了國家自然科學基金和國家社會科學基金等課題 3 項、參加研究 5 項。

研究所十分重視參加社會實踐活動, 賀強 教授帶領研究所人員走訪了許多上市公司,并在此基礎上撰寫出《我國上市公司業績水平研究》、《北京市上市公司業績分析》及《關于法人股市場的調查報告》,受到中央領導的高度重視。 賀強 教授曾多次受到國家證監會及銀行部門領導的邀請,反映證券市場的情況,提供監管意見,他的建議得到有關部門的高度重視。

研究所在學校的支持下,積極開展校内外的學術交流活動,與報社、雜志社、中央電視台及廣播電台合作,開辟學術專欄。研究所的大量科研成果已經在中金網、中央電視台商務電視網以及香港中國咨訊網公布。研究所成立至今,在 賀強 教授的主持下,密切聯系實際,對資本市場進行了全面而深入的研究,取得了一系列重要的學術成果,産生了很好的社會影響。

bevictor伟德官网中國銀行業研究中心

bevictor伟德官网中國銀行業研究中心成立于 2005 年 9 月。中心依托國家重點學科 — bevictor伟德官网的學科優勢和研究隊伍,廣泛聯系國内外相關學術機構,緻力于對中國銀行業等領域的最新理論發展和政策實踐進行研究。其宗旨是在積極推動基礎性理論研究的同時,面向社會,為政府部門、金融機構和企業組織等提供信息咨詢和決策參考服務。中心的研究方向主要包括銀行改革、宏觀經濟、貨币政策、房地産以及資本市場等。 中心成立以來,曾多次組織課題研究。其中,“中小企業融資與金融服務問題研究”(霍英東教育基金會項目)、“股權董事在銀行治理中的作用”(中央彙金投資公司項目)、“國家高新區融資問題研究”(科技部項目)等一系列研究成果在學術界和業界具有較大影響。

The Second Asia-Pacific Economic and Financial Forum

Review of China's Economic and Financial Conditions:

Challenges and Opportunities after 30 Years' of Reform

Organizers

School of Finance with Central University of Finance and Economics

Brookings-TsinghuaCenterfor Public Policy

MonashUniversityFaculty of Business and Economics

CUFE Center for International Finance Studies

CUFE Institute for Securities and Futures

CUFECenterfor China Banking Industry Studies

Media Support

 

ChinaBusiness News

The China Science-Meeting Online

November 9-10, 2008

Central University of Finance and Economics

39 South College Road, Beijing , China

Program

Day 1, November 9, 2008

VenueAcademic Hall,Second Floor,ZhongcaiBuilding, CUFE

900-915

Opening Section

Welcome Remarks by

Professor Zhang Liqing, Dean, School of Finance , CUFE

Professor Xiao Geng, Director, Brookings-Hsinghua Center for Public Policy

Professor On kit Tam, Deputy Dean, Monash University Faculty of Business and Economics

915-1230

Section I: Opportunities and Challenges to China 's Financial D evelopment after 30 Years of Reform

Moderator

  • Professor Zhang Liqing, Dean, School of Finance , CUFE

Keynote speakers :

  • Dr. Ma Jiantang, Director of National Bureau of Statistics of China

  • Professor Wang Guangqian, President of CUFE

Panelists :

  • Professor Wang Songqi, D eputy D irector, Institute of Banking and Finance, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

  • Professor Tam K. On, Deputy Dean, Faculty of Business and Economics, Monash University , Australia

  • Professor Liu Xiliang, Center for China Financial Policy Research, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics

  • Professor Zhang Jie, D irector, China Financial Policy Research Center , Renmin University of China

  • Professor Shi Jianping, Assistant President, CUFE

  • Professor Guo Tianyong, School of Finance , CUFE

Q & A

12: 30-13: 30

Lunch

13:30 - 15:45

Section II: Review of China's Macro Economic and Financial Conditions and Policies

Moderator :

  • Professor Tam, K. On, Deputy Dean, Faculty of Business and Economics, Monash University

Keynote speakers :

  • McKinnon, I. Ronald, William D. Eberle Professor of International Economics, Stanford University

Panelists :

  • Professor Wu Xiaoqiu, Director, Assistant President, Renmin University of China

  • Dr. Qi Bin, D irector, Research Center , China Securities Regulatory Commission

  • Mr. Wang D ongmin, Chairman, CITIC Securities

  • Professor Zhong Wei, Center for China Finance Research, Beijing Normal University

  • D r. Chen Xingdong, Chief Economist, BNP Paribas

  • Professor Xiao Geng, Director, Brookings-Tsinghua Center for Public Policy

Q & A

15:45-16:00

Tea Break

16:00-18:15

Section III: Global Financial Crisis and its Implications to China

Moderator :

  • Professor Xiao Geng, Director, Brookings-Tsinghua Center for Public Policy

Keynote speakers :

  • Professor Pang Jinju, Chairman of Economics Teaching Steering Committee of Minister of Education of China

  • Professor Woo, T. Wing, Changjiang Scholar, CUFE and Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution

Panelists :

  • Dr. Yang Zaiping, Executive Vice President , China Banking Association

  • Mr. Yan Bingzhu, Chairman, Bank of Beijing

  • Dr. Huang Haizhou, Chief Strategist, China International Capital Corporation

  • Dr. Huang Yiping, Chief Economist of Asia-Pacific region, Citigroup

  • Dr. Volz, Ulrich, Senior Fellow, German D evelopment Institute

  • Professor Zhang Liqing, D ean, School of Finance , CUFE

Q & A

Day 2,November 10, 2008

Parallel SectionI:Banking, Capital Market Reform and Financial Development

Venue:Academic Hall , Second Floor, Zhongcai Building , CUFE,

Topic One: Banking Reform and Financial Development (10 minutes for every speaker, 10 minutes for discussion)

820—1000

Moderator:Professor Li Jianjun, Assistant Dean, School of Finance , CUFE

Papers/Presenters

  • The Dual Structure and the Path Option of China Financial System Change: a New Institutional Economics Perspective.

( Mei Liang-Guo, Zhang Yong-Xu, Center for Studies of China Western Economic Development, Northwest University , China )

  • Economic Performance of Dualistic Financial Structure Development in Rural Areas

(Chen Shingxing, Economical Department of Zhejiang Provincial Committee Party School , China )

  • The Effect of Foreign Strategic investor on the Corporate Governance and Performance of China 's Listed Banks

(Liu Yi, Xu Yong, School of Finance , Hunan University, China )

  • Statistical Analyze on Transmission Mechanism of Credit Investment in China 's Commercial Banks

(DENG Qi-zhong, Management of school, Hunan University of Science and Technology; ZOU Xin-yue, Economics and Management School , Wuhan University , China )

  • Some Figures of Ukrainian Banking System Development

(Andrii Nikitin, Banking Management Department, Kyiv national Economics University , Ukraine )

  • Urban Banks'Development, Challenge and Future

(Zhang Jiguang, Strategy Department of Shanghai Bank)

  • The Empirical Test on Reform Effect of China's State-owned Commercial Banks

(Li Xiyi, Chinese Academy of Science and Technology Development)

  • Issues on China 's Non-Performing Asset Securitization Market Environment

(Ma Lijuan, School of Finance , Central University of Finance and Economics , China )

  • Empirical Study on Impact of International Capital Flows on China 's Economic Stability,

(Zhang Biqiong, School of Finance , Central University of Finance and Economics , China )

  • The Change of Global Financial Structure and Strategy Analysis for China

(Xiu jing, China Youth University for Political Sciences)

10:00-10:10

Tea Break

Topic Two: Capital Market Reform and Development(10 minutes for every speaker, 10 minutes for discussion)

1010—1200

Moderator:Associate Professor Ying Zhanyu, Assistant Dean, School of Finance , CUFE

Papers and Presenters:

  • Comprehensive Evaluation of Profitability, Impact Factors of Listed Companies

(Xue Deyu, Gao Lei, Institute of International Finance, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology , China )

  • Controlling Shareholders, Unfair Related Party Transactions and Benefits Tunneling

(Li Guangzhi, Liu Li, Guanghua School of Management, Peking University )

  • Adjustment of Rate of Stamp Duty, Stock Market Volatility Risk and Industries Differences

(Wang Xiaoling, Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce)

  • Macroeconomic Influencing Factors of China 's Bond Market Yield: Empirical Analysis

(Li Leining, School of Finance , Central University of Finance and Economics , China )

  • Research on Bond-type Fund Sustainable Performance in Republic of Korea

(Cui Juan & Jin Hongpei. Dongseo University , ROK)

  • Research on Market Competition and Dynamic Adjustment of Capital Structure — Based on Nonstationary Panel Data Analysis in the Banking

(Shiping-Huang, hongjun-Xiao, School of Management, Dalian University of Technology ; Xuping-Huang, School of English for international business, Guangdong University of foreign studies)

  • Time interval and optimal asset allocations: The case of Hong Kong

(CHEN Rui, LIU Si, Hong Kong University )

  • Estimations for risk premium by APT model

(Shi Xiuhong, School of Finance , Central University of Finance and Economics , China )

  • Corporative Models of Income Taxation

(Sverdan М., Department of Finance, Kyiv national Economics University , Ukraine )

Parallel SectionII: Economic Conditions and Policies, Financial Crisis

Venue:Academic Hall , Third Floor, Zhongcai Building , CUFE

Topic One: Economic Conditions and Policies(10 minutes for every speaker, 10 minutes for discussion)

820—1000

ModeratorProfessor Jin Zhesong, Doctoral Advisor, Department of International Trade and Economics, School of Finance , CUFE

Papers and Presenters:

• The Stakes of China in the Global Economic Debacle : Less to Lose, More to Gain

(Kwangbong Lee 、 Zou Zhixia, Inje University, ROK)

• A Study of Monetary Policy Conducting in the Open Economy in Transitional China

(BIAN Zhi-cun, Institute of Finance & Banking, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, School of Business, Nanjing Normal University; LI Hua-wei, School of Business, Nanjing Normal University, China)

• Total Factor Productivity and Economic Growth in Macao

(Zhuo Shuaihe, Zhe Dongdong, University of Macau )

• Gold Price and Economy Activity: Analysis on Gold Market and Its Signification of Monetary policy

(Liu Ming, Institution of Agriculture Development, Western China Institution of Financing; LI Na, Western China Institution of Financing, Shaanxi Normal University, China )

• Empirical Study On Current Account Effect of RMB' Exchange Rate

(Zhang Zhengrong, School of Economics and Management, Zhejiang Sci-Tech University , China )

• Exchange Rate and Export Prices Pass-through: an Extension of the Cournot Model

(Wu Dongli, Qu Zhaoguang, Department of Finance, Shenyang Agricultural University, China; Zhang Liqing, School of Finance, Central University of Finance and Economics, China)

• An Empirical Study on Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on China 's Exports USA

(Sheng Chaoxun, School of Business , Renmin University of China )

• Transformation and Upgrading of China's Defense Science and Technology Industry

(Fan Zhaozhen, Instute Defence Economic and management, Central University of Finance and Economics , China )

• Determinants of Renminbi REER: 1994-2008

(Huang Changli, School of Finance , Central University of Finance and Economics , China )

• Fiscal Administration of Personal Revenues, In the Post-Soviet Market Transition Economic: Experience of Ukraine

(Slavkova A, Department of Finance, Kyiv National Economic University, Ukrain)

10:00-10:10

Tea Break

Topic Two: Financial Crisis(10 minutes for every speaker, 10 minutes for discussion)

1010—1200

Moderator: Professor Han Fuling, Director of Department of Applied Finance, School of Finance , CUFE

Papers and Presenters

• Subprime Mortgage Crisis in U.S. : Background, Causes and Some Enlightenments

(Liu Xinghua, School of Finance , Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics , China )

• Eolutionary Phases of Financial Crisis and Checking to the United States

( Yao Jinhai, Center of Social Security Research, Wuhan University , China )

• Rethinking of the United States ' Measures to Prevent the Financial Crisis

(Li Ruiqin, School of Finance , Central University of Finance and Economics , China )

• Subprime Debt Crisis: an Analysis and Implications

(Zhao Handan, School of International Business, Southwest University of Finance and Economics , China )

• Impact on China of U.S. 'Subprime Debt Crisis and Policy Studies

(Gong Jianhui , China Enterprises International Development Association)

• U.S. 'Subprime Debt Crisis, From the Perspective of China

(Guo Jianwei, Department of Finance, Jiangnan University, China; Peng Zhiqing, Zhao Qinghua, Huazhong University of Science and Technology)

• Subprime Crisis Warns Local Banks Strengthening Enterprise-wide Risk Management

(Dong Rufang, Wu Yajun, Wang Zhihong, College of Business Administration, Liaoning Technical University , China )

• On China 's Early Warning System of Financial Security

( Zhang Changquan , Anhui University of Finance and Economics , China ; Liang jizhou, Agricultural Bank of China )

Introduction to Keynote Speakers and Panelists

Chen Xingdong

Chen Xingdongis the managing director, and chief economist of China region in BNP as Securities ( Asia ) Ltd. His main research interests are finance and macroeconomics.

Guo Tianyong

Guo Tianyongis a professor of Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE). His main research interests are banking industry management and its reform policy.

Huang Haizhou

Huang Haizhouis the managing director of research department and head of Strategic Group of China International Capital Corporation Limited. His current research focuses on corporate finance, financial crisis, international finance and monetary policy.

Huang Yiping

Huang Yipingis the chief economist of Asia-Pacific region in Citigroup. His main research interests are macroeconomic policy, financial reform and agriculture development.

Liu Xiliang

Liu Xiliangis a professor and assistant president of the Southwestern University of Finance and Economics. His interest fields are monetary theory and policy and financial supervision.

Ma Jiantang

Ma Jiantangis the governor of the National Bureau of Statistics of China, His research interests are enterprise behavior, industrial structure, industrial organization and macroeconomics.

McKinnon, I. Ronald

Ronald I. McKinnonis William D. Eberle Professor of International Economics Stanford University . McKinnon is an applied economist whose primary interests are international economics and economic development-with strong secondary interests in transitional economies and fiscal federalism.

Pang Jinju

Pang Jinju is a professor in economics and the director of Center for Studies of Political Economy of Nankai University, Chairman of Economics Teaching Steering Committee of Minister of Education of China. His research interests are the basic theory of political economy, market economy theory and Chinese economic system reform, macro-economy control and studies.

Qi Bin

Qi Binis the director of research center of China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). His main research interest is the securities market.

Shi Jianping

Shi Jianping is a professor and assistant president of the Central University of Finance and Economics. His research area includes bank management, financial risk management, financial system reform, operation mechanism of capital market, corporate finance.

Tam, K. On

On Kit Tamis deputy dean, International in the Faculty of Business and Economics. His main research interests are monetary management, financial development, and corporate governance in the Asia Pacific region, with particular reference to China .

Volz, Ulrich

Ulrich Volzis senior research fellow at German Development Institute, the Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA) and the Free University of Berlin. His research interests focus on international financial markets, monetary and financial co-operation and integration, and development and transition economics.

Wang Dongming

Wang Dongming,chairman of CITIC Securities Co., Ltd.

Wang Guangqian

Wang Guangqianis the president of Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE). He is also vice president of China 's Finance Studies . His main research interests are finance and macro-economics.

Wang Songqi

Wang Songqiis a professor of finance and the vice director of Institute of Finance and Banking, CASS. His main research interests are capital market and finance.

Wu Xiaoqiu

WU Xiaoqiuis the assistant president, executive deputy dean of Graduate School and director of Finance and Securities Institute of Renmin University of China (FSI), Changjiang Scholar Professor. His research interests are capital market.

Woo, T. Wing

Wing Thye Woo, professor in the Department of Economics, University of California at Davis and is Changjiang Scholar Professor of Central University of Finance and Economics. His current research focuses on the economic issues of East Asia (particularly, China and Indonesia ), international financial architecture, economic growth, and exchange rate economics.

Xiao Geng

Xiao Geng, director of Brookings-Tsinghua Center for Public Policy in Beijing and Senior Fellow of John L. Thorton China Center, Foreign Policy Studies Program, His main research interests are Chinese enterprises, finance, and institutional reform and development.

Yan Bingzhu

Yan Bingzhu, chairman of Bank of Beijing. Mr. Yan has devoted to the management of banking for more than 30years. His main research interests are the sustainable development of commercial banks as well as risk management.

Yang Zaiping

Yang Zaipingis executive vice president of China Banking Association.

Zhang Jie

Zhang Jieis a professor and the vice president of School of Finance of Renmin University of China. He is also the director, of China Financial Policy Research Center . The major research area includes monetary and financial policy, financial system and financial development.

Zhang Liqing

Zhang Liqingis a professor of international finance, dean of the School of Finance and director of International Finance Studies with Central University of Finance and Economics. His main research interests are finance and macroeconomics.

Zhong Wei

Zhong Wei, professor and director of Finance Research Center of Beijing Normal University of China . His main research interests are bank risk management and foreign exchange rate economics.

Schoolof Finance, Central University of

Finance and Economics (CUFE)

The School of Finance of the Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), formerly known as the Department of Finance, was founded in 1949, and it is one of the most important and earliest-established schools for training financial talent following the founding of People's Republic of China . In 1953 and 1956, the Department of Finance started graduate programmes in Finance and programme for overseas students, respectively. In 1960, the first undergraduate programme for majors in Finance in China was established by the Department of Finance at CUFE. In 2002, the Finance Major at CUFE was appraised as a National Key Discipline by the Ministry of Education.. In 2005, the International Economics and Trade Major was chosen as the Key Discipline at CUFE. In 2002, And in 2005, CUFE selected International Economics and Trade as Key Major.

There are five departments in the School of Finance : Department of Finance, Department of Applied Finance, Department of Financial Engineering, Department of International Finance, and Department of International Economics and Trade. There are also three research institutions: Centre for International Finance Studies of CUFE, Institute for Securities and Futurese of CUFE, and Centre for China Banking Industry Studies. The school has all the three teaching levels of undergraduate, postgraduate and doctorate. There are three undergraduate majors: Finance, International Trade and Financial Engineering and beginning in 2004, the newly added Sino-Australian cooperative program of International Trade and Financial Risk Management. There are four graduate majors: Finance, International Trade and Economics, International Finance, and Securities Investment. There are two doctoral majors: Finance and International Trade. Concurrently, the school has the finance (under the subject of Applied Economics) post-doctoral workstation. The school's teaching and research fields include monetary theory and policy, micro-finance and financial engineering, international trade theory and practice, international capital flow, and more. As for curriculum design, the money and banking courses have been selected as the “Best Course in China ”, and the securities investment course is chosen as “Best Course in Beijing .” Currently CUFE School of Finance has more than 1100 undergraduates, more than 400 graduate and Ph.D. students, and more than 200 part-time graduate students.

The school has many well-known professors and scholars; in all the school has 51 full-time faculties. Among them, 16 professors; and 18 associate professors; most of them have doctoral degrees; 6 teachers have been awarded Special Governmental Allowances of the State Council; 2 professors have been selected as candidates for the national “Project for Millions of Talents;” 1 teacher has been awarded the national “Famous Professor Award” for higher-educational institutions; and 4 teachers are supported by “Program for New Century Excellent Talents” by the Ministry of Education. World-famous economists such as Joseph E. Stiglitz, Ronald I. McKinnon, John Williamson and Wing Thye Woo have been invited to be honorary professors or visiting professors at the school.

The School has had great achievements in scientific research and social service. In the past 10 years, teachers of the school have overseen or been involved in more than 40 national-level or provincial/ministerial-level scientific research programs, obtained more than 20 awards of provincial/ministerial-level and above, published more than 1000 research papers and more than 120 books, including monographs, translations, course books and reference books. With regard to social services, the School's teachers are actively involved in social activities, such as the formulation of governmental policies, decision-making in enterprise and personnel training by making full use of their professional knowledge. They are all highly regarded throughout the nation. CUFE School of Finance has built extensive close relationships with universities, research institutions, academic organizations, and governments at home and abroad in order to promote academic communication and educational cooperation.

Brookings-TsinghuaCenterfor Public Policy

On October 24, 2006 , the Brookings Institution's John L. Thornton China Center and China 's Tsinghua University founded a joint center for Chinese public policy research at the university's School of Public Policy and Management in Beijing , China . As the institution's first international center, the Brookings-Tsinghua Center for Public Policy (BTC) is a leader in Brookings's evolution into a global think tank with on-the-ground research support capacity for scholars in the region. Under the direction of Dr. Geng Xiao, the BTC provides cutting-edge research, analysis, dialogue, and publications that focus on the challenges, opportunities, and implications of China 's rapid development.

The BTC addresses a wide range of challenges and issues that are critical to China 's modernization. While the Center's research agenda is dynamic and responsive to new developments, major areas of on-going research and analysis include:

• Financial Sector Reform: China 's financial sector is the linchpin for many of the country's policies and initiatives. The BTC financial sector research project focuses on finding ways to absorb and integrate technical knowledge and insights derived from both foreign and domestic financial experts.

• Health Care Reform: China is currently rebuilding its health care system and infrastructure. The BTC's research and programming efforts in this area are geared towards providing innovative policy options and solutions. On-going dialogues have focused on bottle-necks in the system, the roles of competition and regulation in health care markets, comparative studies of health care systems and their lessons for China, and how best to provide health care for the poor.

• Energy and Environment: China 's economic growth hinges on its ability to secure energy resources and ensure that they are used in a manner that is efficient and environmentally-sustainable. The Brookings-Tsinghua Center is engaged in on-going research into the domestic challenges and consequences of China 's energy policies. Other important topics include the implications for the international community of China 's increasing energy demand.

The BTC hosts a number of events in Beijing every year that serve as venues for senior Chinese and American officials, business leaders, and experts to discuss policy issues relevant to China's development. In addition to public programs in Beijing , the BTC also holds private roundtable discussions with Chinese officials, scholars, and visiting delegations. The BTC also organizes meetings where multiple delegations from around the world can discuss the challenges and implications of China 's growth from a global perspective.

MonashUniversityFaculty of Business and Economics

Monash University is a dynamic and internationally recognized university with a long established tradition of excellence in education. It consists of 10 faculties and offers 978 kinds of degree programs to students.

Monash University is ranked within the top 40 world universities (ranked 33) by the Times Higher Education Supplement 2006. As one of Australia 's leading Group of Eight (Go8) universities, it is recognised for its excellence in research, teaching and scholarship.

The Faculty of Business and Economics is a leader in the broad discipline areas of Accounting and Finance, Business Law and Taxation, Econometrics and Business Statistics, Economics, Management and Marketing, with more than 15,000 students studying and researching. In 2006, the Monash Master of Business Administration (MBA) was ranked number 3 in the world for the category of “Personal development and educational experience” (The Economist Intelligence Unit Survey of MBA Programs, 2006).Overall it was ranked 49 in the world, the highest ranked MBA in Australia.

The Faculty of Business and Economics has been awarded International Business School Accreditation by the Brussels-based European Quality Improvement System (EQUIS). The accreditation established the faculty as one of the world leading institutions in business and management. More information can be found at website:http://www.buseco.monash.edu.au

Centre for International Finance Studies, CUFE

The Centre for International Finance Studies of CUFE was founded in September 2003. The centre concentrates on studies of the latest theoretical developments and policy practices in international financial fields. It aims at providing services such as informational and decision-making consulting for the government sector, financial institutions, and business. Study areas include international finance, international investment, international financial markets, macroeconomics, and corporate finance. Professor Zhang Liqing, the Dean of the School of Finance , is also the Director of the centre. Since the founding of the centre, it has organized many international academic lectures and seminars, including “The Revolution of Exchange Rate-- International Experiences and China 's Choices,” “Adjustment of Global Imbalances: Macroeconomic Policies and Institutional Reform.” All these activities have had a great positive social impact.

Institute for Securities and Futures, CUFE

The Institute for Securities and Futures was founded in April 1994, and is the first high-level institute engaged in securities and futures research. The institute was initially proposed by the famous finance expert Liu Guangdi and founded with the approval of CUFE. Professor He Qiang, a famous finance expert, is the present director of the institute. There are 22 members at the institute including domestic economic experts such as Wu Jinglian and Xiao Zhuoji as senior advisors. Since its establishment, the institute has been actively exploring issues of domestic capital markets and economic development, systematically tracking the securities market and studying in depth the reorganization of enterprise assets, the rebuilding of state enterprise stock and macroeconomic prediction. It has obtained numerous achievements and had a great social impact.

Centre for China Banking Industry Studies, CUFE

The Centre for China Banking Industry Studies at CUFE was founded in September 2005. The members of the centre are experts and professors from CUFE, related financial institutes, national-level agencies and other high-level academic institutes and experts. The main research areas include development policies and theories in the banking industry, commercial bank management theory and practice, innovation of products and services in commercial banking, technology and methods of commercial banking risk management, theory and practice of fund industry development, legal issues in bank management, and other theoretical and practical problems related to development of the banking industry.



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